Belediye Kütahyaspor 2-1 Kuşadasıspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuşadasıspor EU Bookmakers 32%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
0.90/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kuşadasıspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.01.2024 Kuşadasıspor Kuşadasıspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor S3-3
17.09.2023 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Kuşadasıspor Kuşadasıspor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor
2-1
AWAY Kuşadasıspor
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Kuşadasıspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belediye Kütahyaspor squeezed past Kuşadasıspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Belediye Kütahyaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Belediye Kütahyaspor had 43% of the ball to Kuşadasıspor's 57%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kuşadasıspor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Belediye Kütahyaspor and 1.00 for Kuşadasıspor.

What was the final score of Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Kuşadasıspor?

Belediye Kütahyaspor 2-1 Kuşadasıspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Kuşadasıspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belediye Kütahyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Belediye Kütahyaspor 40%, draw 26%, Kuşadasıspor 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belediye Kütahyaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Belediye Kütahyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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