Portuguesa FC 2-2 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.93/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.95
-10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.2 Crosses 11.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Angostura FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 0.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
233 Passes 295
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
30.09.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
12.02.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
2-2
AWAY Angostura FC
1.03 xG 0.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
345 Passes 371
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC and Angostura FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 49% of the ball to Angostura FC's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.03 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.00 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Angostura FC?

Portuguesa FC 2-2 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 40%, draw 33%, Angostura FC 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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