Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -7%
0.94/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.75
+8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.1 Crosses 18.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Carabobo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.81 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
246 Passes 336
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.03.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.07.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.05.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
18.10.2021 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 3-0 HT 2-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
0-2
AWAY Carabobo
0.70 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
277 Passes 242
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo saw off Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Carabobo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 53% of the ball to Carabobo's 47%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.70 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.50 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 40%, draw 26%, Carabobo 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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