Meizhou Hakka 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
6.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.71 — our 27% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.12
1/2
7%
19.65
1/X
10%
15.85
X/1
7%
9.94
X/2
10%
4.42
X/X
13%
6.52
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
31%
2.09
2/X
10%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
22%
-3.2pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.0pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 60%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.11/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.96
+14% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
16.4 Crosses 20.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.44 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
330 Passes 286
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-0 HT 1-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
03.03.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
17.07.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
01.12.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
20.09.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-3
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
0.50 xG 2.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
279 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua beat Meizhou Hakka 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 50% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 50%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 0.50 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.67 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Meizhou Hakka 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 19%, draw 33%, Shanghai Shenhua 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
6 May 2025
14:35 Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC Analysis →