Shanghai Shenhua 3-0 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.4
No
47%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.45
2-3 Goals
33%
2.0
4-5 Goals
31%
2.67
6+ Goals
17%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
22%
3.34
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
6%
10.55
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
6%
32.5
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
Value flag · 2/X at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 0.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-17.2pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+12.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
38%
+15.5pp
47%
BTTS No
62%
-15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 8%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.42/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.10
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
22.6 Crosses 12.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.32 xG 0.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
239 Passes 353
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
17.07.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
01.12.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
20.09.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
3-0
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
2.38 xG 0.47
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
521 Passes 212
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
47 Box Touches 4
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua swept aside Meizhou Hakka 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 68% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 32%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.38 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 0.20 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Meizhou Hakka?

Shanghai Shenhua 3-0 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 63%, draw 19%, Meizhou Hakka 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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