Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.98
1/2
10%
21.3
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
6%
10.85
X/2
18%
3.94
X/X
7%
5.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.98
2/X
10%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
51%
Away Win
59%
-8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.61/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.58
+63% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -45%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
22.0 Crosses 16.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.58 xG 2.76
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
334 Passes 471
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 7-0 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
02.03.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
04.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 3-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
06.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-2 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-5
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.03 xG 2.26
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
295 Passes 449
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao swept aside Qingdao Jonoon 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 41% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 59%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 1.03 to 2.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 3.50 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 25%, draw 24%, Chengdu Qianbao 51%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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