Bragantino 1-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 May 2025

Bragantino
1-0 HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 35% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.45
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.46
X/2
14%
9.02
X/X
19%
4.38
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
7%
7.37
2/X
10%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-13.1pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.53/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.30
+16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.0
23.4 Crosses 23.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bragantino vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.40 xG 1.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.02.2023 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BRPL1
28.01.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BREPAU
18.04.2021 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
19.03.2021 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Bragantino BRK
08.02.2020 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BREPAU
14.02.2018 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU

Bragantino 1-0 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-0
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.77 xG 0.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
442 Passes 363
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino edged past Mirassol FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) promised a tight game; Bragantino found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bragantino had 53% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 47%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.77 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bragantino and 1.33 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Mirassol FC?

Bragantino 1-0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 38%, draw 35%, Mirassol FC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
6 May 2025
02:00 Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →