Juventude 0-1 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
4.7
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.11
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
12%
6.54
X/2
10%
4.9
X/X
14%
4.03
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
12%
3.28
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
30%
+10.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-11.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.23/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.21
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
25.0 Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.64 xG 2.21
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 505
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-3 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
17.07.2024 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
28.10.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
02.07.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
21.11.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
08.08.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
0-1
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.81 xG 1.58
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
253 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 41
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro squeezed past Juventude 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Juventude at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juventude had 45% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 55%, shots finished 13-26, expected goals 0.81 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventude and 1.67 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro?

Juventude 0-1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Juventude 41%, draw 29%, Atletico Mineiro 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Juventude) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventude) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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