NiemU 1-2 HaPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 6 May 2025

NiemU
1-2 HT 0-1
HaPK
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.8pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NiemU EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY HaPK EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH NiemU vs HaPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HaPK edged past NiemU 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had HaPK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of NiemU vs HaPK?

NiemU 1-2 HaPK in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NiemU vs HaPK?

Before kick-off our model rated an HaPK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split NiemU 26%, draw 24%, HaPK 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HaPK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HaPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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