Suwon City 2-1 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 29% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.65
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
12%
7.73
X/X
11%
5.05
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
10%
5.74
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.7pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.68/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.13
+78% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daegu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
456 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Daegu Daegu 3-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
14.07.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
29.05.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
16.03.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
08.10.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
10.06.2023 Daegu Daegu 3-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
2-1
AWAY Daegu
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
243 Passes 320
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City nicked a narrow win over Daegu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suwon City had 44% of the ball to Daegu's 56%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Suwon City and 1.83 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Daegu?

Suwon City 2-1 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 45%, draw 26%, Daegu 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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