Suwon City 2-2 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.56
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
19%
4.41
X/2
12%
7.68
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
10%
5.56
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.5pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daegu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 1.54
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
517 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
16.03.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
08.10.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
10.06.2023 Daegu Daegu 3-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
26.04.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
09.10.2022 Daegu Daegu 2-1 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
2-2
AWAY Daegu
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City and Daegu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon City at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suwon City had 63% of the ball to Daegu's 37%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Suwon City and 1.50 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Daegu?

Suwon City 2-2 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 49%, draw 25%, Daegu 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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