Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.73
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
10%
7.28
X/X
12%
4.85
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
20%
5.17
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 31%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.21/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+98% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
382 Passes 371
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
17.03.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
03.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
02.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
19.03.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
27.09.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
4-0
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
72% Ball Possession 28%
30 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu ran out comfortable winners over Jeonbuk Motors 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Gimcheon Sangmu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 72% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 28%, shots finished 30-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.00 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 40%, draw 24%, Jeonbuk Motors 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
14 Jul 2024
13:00 Suwon City vs Daegu Analysis →
13:00 Gwangju vs Incheon United Analysis →