Gwangju 0-2 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
14%
4.0
X/2
16%
8.32
X/X
11%
4.56
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
6.73
2/X
9%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
52%
-13.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 26%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.41/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.29
-100% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
24.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
451 Passes 353
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.04.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
28.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
18.08.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
20.05.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
18.03.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 5-0 HT 2-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-2
AWAY Incheon United
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United beat Gwangju 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Incheon United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gwangju had 59% of the ball to Incheon United's 41%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gwangju and 1.50 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Incheon United?

Gwangju 0-2 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 38%, draw 28%, Incheon United 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gwangju), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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