Al Talaba 2-0 Karbala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Karbala EU Bookmakers 21%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.79/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.00
-52% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Talaba
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Karbala
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.01.2025 Karbala Karbala 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
20.12.2023 Al Talaba Al Talaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Karbala Karbala IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Talaba vs Karbala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba beat Karbala 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Talaba as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Talaba had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Talaba and 0.00 for Karbala.

What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Karbala?

Al Talaba 2-0 Karbala in the Iraq - Premier League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Karbala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 53%, draw 23%, Karbala 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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