Naft 1-0 Duhok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 6 May 2025

Naft
1-0 HT 0-0
Duhok
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Naft vs Duhok Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.4pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft v Duhok — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Duhok EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.00
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Naft vs Duhok Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Duhok
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
09.02.2025 Duhok Duhok 1-0 HT 1-0 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft squeezed past Duhok 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Naft made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Naft vs Duhok?

Naft 1-0 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Duhok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naft 32%, draw 30%, Duhok 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Duhok) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Duhok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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