JEF United (K) 2-2 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.84/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.77
-34% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.11.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
21.04.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
09.03.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
2-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) and Omiya Ardija (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 52% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 48%, shots finished 10-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, JEF United (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JEF United (K) and 0.33 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

JEF United (K) 2-2 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 39%, draw 29%, Omiya Ardija (K) 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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