Bayern München (K) 1-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 6 May 2026

Bayern München (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Hoffenheim (K)
📅06/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-4.8pp
13%
Draw
15%
-1.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v Hoffenheim (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.64/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.47
+23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.9 Crosses 13.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.19 xG 0.71
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
492 Passes 250
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 1-5 HT 1-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
09.02.2025 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
23.09.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
27.01.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB

Bayern München (K) 1-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
1-1
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
2.75 xG 0.93
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
568 Passes 239
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
41 Box Touches 5
34 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) and Hoffenheim (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayern München (K) at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 68% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 32%, shots finished 26-2, expected goals 2.75 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Bayern München (K) and 0.75 for Hoffenheim (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Bayern München (K) 1-1 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 70%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim (K) 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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