Le Havre (K) 3-3 FC Nantes (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.80/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.39
+105% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +87%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
215 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.1 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 2.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
209 Passes 364
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
15.02.2025 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) 2-2 HT 2-2 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre (K)
3-3
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
2.20 xG 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
245 Passes 438
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Le Havre (K) vs FC Nantes (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) and FC Nantes (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nantes (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Le Havre (K) had 40% of the ball to FC Nantes (K)'s 60%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.20 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Nantes (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Le Havre (K) and 2.00 for FC Nantes (K).

What was the final score of Le Havre (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Le Havre (K) 3-3 FC Nantes (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nantes (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Le Havre (K) 26%, draw 24%, FC Nantes (K) 50%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Nantes (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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