Lyon (K) 3-1 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.25
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
28%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
76%
-4.4pp
14%
Draw
14%
+0.2pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.50/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.97
+40% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
43.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
26.7 Crosses 12.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
3.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
3.38 xG 0.55
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
539 Passes 178
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
42 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-5 HT 0-3 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
31.01.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-4 HT 1-3 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
05.10.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
21.01.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
14.01.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
3-1
AWAY Montpellier (K)
1.87 xG 0.54
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
536 Passes 148
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) saw off Montpellier (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 72% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 28%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.87 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Lyon (K) and 0.60 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Lyon (K) 3-1 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 72%, draw 14%, Montpellier (K) 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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