Montpellier (K) 1-4 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 31 Jan 2025

Montpellier (K)
1-4 HT 1-3
Lyon (K)
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
22%
8.11
Away
61%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.6
No
45%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+11.9pp
22%
Draw
9%
+12.8pp
61%
Away Win
86%
-24.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
34%
+20.4pp
45%
BTTS No
66%
-20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier (K) v Lyon (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.76/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.61/0.54
+53% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +41%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
206 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 84%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.5
12.3 Crosses 26.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1

Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.59 xG 3.86
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 9
206 Passes 487
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
4 Box Touches 40
6 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
21.01.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
14.01.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRKK

Montpellier (K) 1-4 Lyon (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-4
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.15 xG 3.06
26% Ball Possession 74%
3 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
168 Passes 693
63% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 43
11 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) swept aside Montpellier (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 26% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 74%, shots finished 3-21, expected goals 0.15 to 3.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Montpellier (K) and 3.33 for Lyon (K).

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-4 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 17%, draw 22%, Lyon (K) 61%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →