Marsilya (K) 0-1 Dijon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 6 May 2026

Marsilya (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Dijon (K)
📅06/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Marsilya (K) vs Dijon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya (K) v Dijon (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.29/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.70
-60% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.3 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Marsilya (K) vs Dijon (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dijon (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
340 Passes 392
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.11.2025 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Marsilya (K) Marsilya (K) FRK1

Marsilya (K) 0-1 Dijon (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya (K)
0-1
AWAY Dijon (K)
0.96 xG 2.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
313 Passes 481
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsilya (K) vs Dijon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) edged past Marsilya (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dijon (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsilya (K) had 41% of the ball to Dijon (K)'s 59%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.96 to 2.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dijon (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Marsilya (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Marsilya (K) 0-1 Dijon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marsilya (K) 33%, draw 30%, Dijon (K) 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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