Samgurali 3-1 Meshakhte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Meshakhte EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.75/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+36% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
229 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Meshakhte
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2026 Meshakhte Meshakhte 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
3-1
AWAY Meshakhte
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Meshakhte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali got the better of Meshakhte 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samgurali as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Samgurali had 55% of the ball to Meshakhte's 45%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Samgurali 3-1 Meshakhte in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 47%, draw 30%, Meshakhte 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samgurali) ✗ Under 2.5
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