Gagra 1-2 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.44/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.60
+8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2026 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
26.10.2025 Gagra Gagra 4-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
17.08.2025 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-2 HT 1-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
03.05.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
10.03.2025 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
18.10.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-2
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Batumi squeezed past Gagra 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gagra at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gagra had 53% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 47%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gagra and 1.50 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Gagra 1-2 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gagra 46%, draw 22%, Dinamo Batumi 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gagra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
6 May 2026
18:00 Samgurali vs Meshakhte Analysis →
18:00 Dila Gori vs Saburtalo Analysis →