Gagra 1-1 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.8pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.56/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.99
+38% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
251 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2025 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
18.10.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
10.08.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
27.04.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.03.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
03.11.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra and Dinamo Batumi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Gagra had 41% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 59%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gagra and 2.00 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Gagra 1-1 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gagra 31%, draw 30%, Dinamo Batumi 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Batumi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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