Dinamo Batumi 0-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-12.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.65/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.17
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Batumi
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Gagra
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
03.11.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
27.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
18.03.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-4 HT 0-3 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
26.11.2022 Gagra Gagra 1-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Batumi
0-1
AWAY Gagra
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Batumi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Batumi carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Batumi had 70% of the ball to Gagra's 30%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Dinamo Batumi and 0.67 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra?

Dinamo Batumi 0-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Batumi 57%, draw 23%, Gagra 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
27 Apr 2024
18:00 Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis →
19:00 Dila Gori vs Samgurali Analysis →