Dila Gori 1-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
63%
-18.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+13.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.65/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.01
-23% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samgurali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
28.11.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-0 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.09.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-2 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
13.04.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-3 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
03.12.2022 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
1-1
AWAY Samgurali
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori and Samgurali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dila Gori at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dila Gori had 63% of the ball to Samgurali's 37%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dila Gori and 1.00 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Samgurali?

Dila Gori 1-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 44%, draw 28%, Samgurali 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dila Gori), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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