Samgurali 0-1 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 45%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -26%
1.09/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.88
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dila Gori
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-0 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.09.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-2 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
13.04.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-3 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
03.12.2022 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
17.09.2022 Samgurali Samgurali 0-3 HT 0-2 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
0-1
AWAY Dila Gori
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori squeezed past Samgurali 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Dila Gori found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Samgurali had 48% of the ball to Dila Gori's 52%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samgurali and 1.67 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Dila Gori?

Samgurali 0-1 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 35%, draw 31%, Dila Gori 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Samgurali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samgurali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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