Gagra 1-3 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
0.96/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.90
-11% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
27.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
18.03.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-4 HT 0-3 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
26.11.2022 Gagra Gagra 1-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
10.09.2022 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-3
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Batumi beat Gagra 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Batumi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gagra had 38% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 62%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gagra and 3.00 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Gagra 1-3 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gagra 28%, draw 28%, Dinamo Batumi 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Batumi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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