Saburtalo 3-3 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
1.59/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.94
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
03.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 5-0 HT 3-0 Saburtalo GUR
08.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-3 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
25.04.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-3 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
26.02.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
16.10.2022 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
3-3
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo and Torpedo Kutaisi shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saburtalo had 35% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 65%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saburtalo and 1.83 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Saburtalo 3-3 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 38%, draw 27%, Torpedo Kutaisi 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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