Dinamo Batumi 3-2 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -21%
2.08/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.09
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Batumi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gagra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
27.04.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.03.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
03.11.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
27.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Batumi
3-2
AWAY Gagra
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Batumi nicked a narrow win over Gagra 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Batumi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dinamo Batumi had 66% of the ball to Gagra's 34%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Batumi and 0.67 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra?

Dinamo Batumi 3-2 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Batumi 44%, draw 25%, Gagra 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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