Gagra 1-1 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 50%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.05
+34% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.03.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
03.11.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
27.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
18.03.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-4 HT 0-3 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra and Dinamo Batumi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Batumi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gagra had 36% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 64%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gagra and 2.50 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Gagra 1-1 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gagra 27%, draw 27%, Dinamo Batumi 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Batumi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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