Samtredia 1-3 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
210 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
06.03.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 1-1 HT 0-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
1-3
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolkheti 1913 Poti got the better of Samtredia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kolkheti 1913 Poti as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samtredia had 56% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 44%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kolkheti 1913 Poti led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Samtredia and 1.50 for Kolkheti 1913 Poti.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Samtredia 1-3 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolkheti 1913 Poti win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 30%, draw 23%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolkheti 1913 Poti) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolkheti 1913 Poti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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