Gagra 4-1 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.89/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.43
+37% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2025 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-2 HT 1-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
03.05.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
10.03.2025 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
18.10.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
10.08.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
27.04.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
4-1
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
44% Ball Possession 56%
26 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra cruised past Dinamo Batumi 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gagra as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gagra had 44% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 56%, shots finished 26-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gagra and 1.33 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Gagra 4-1 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gagra 45%, draw 25%, Dinamo Batumi 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gagra) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gagra) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
26 Oct 2025
18:00 Saburtalo vs Dila Gori Analysis →