Dinamo Batumi 1-2 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.57/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.17
+16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Batumi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gagra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
10.03.2025 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
18.10.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
10.08.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
27.04.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.03.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Batumi
1-2
AWAY Gagra
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Batumi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Batumi at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dinamo Batumi had 50% of the ball to Gagra's 50%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dinamo Batumi and 1.17 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra?

Dinamo Batumi 1-2 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Batumi 52%, draw 23%, Gagra 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
17 Aug 2025
19:00 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Telavi Analysis →
19:00 Dila Gori vs Saburtalo Analysis →