Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Al Mosul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.50/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.82
-13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +81%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Mosul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.02.2026 Al Mosul Al Mosul 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya edged past Al Mosul 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Quwa Al Jawiya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 59%, draw 29%, Al Mosul 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
6 May 2026
17:30 Al Gharraf vs Diala Analysis →
17:30 Erbil vs Al Kahrabaa Analysis →
20:00 Al Karkh vs Zakho Analysis →