Erbil 2-2 Al Kahrabaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.02/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.55
+30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbil
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Kahrabaa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.09.2025 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa 0-0 HT 0-0 Erbil Erbil IRAK
30.03.2025 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa 3-1 HT 1-1 Erbil Erbil IRAK
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Al Kahrabaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil and Al Kahrabaa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Erbil at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Kahrabaa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Erbil and 1.50 for Al Kahrabaa.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Al Kahrabaa?

Erbil 2-2 Al Kahrabaa in the Iraq - Premier League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Al Kahrabaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Erbil 53%, draw 27%, Al Kahrabaa 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erbil) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erbil) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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