Club Olimpia 1-3 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.90/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.12
-22% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Libertad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
26.11.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
28.09.2023 Libertad Libertad 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
21.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
20.03.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
13.10.2022 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
1-3
AWAY Libertad
60% Ball Possession 40%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad saw off Club Olimpia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 60% of the ball to Libertad's 40%, shots finished 3-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.50 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Libertad?

Club Olimpia 1-3 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 26%, draw 32%, Libertad 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
6 Jun 2024
01:00 Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno Analysis →
22:30 Sportivo Ameliano vs Tacuary Analysis →