Nacional Asuncion 0-2 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.2pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.02/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.79
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
168 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
27.11.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
11.09.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.05.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
26.03.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
11.10.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
0-2
AWAY Cerro Porteno
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno got the better of Nacional Asuncion 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 48% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 52%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.33 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?

Nacional Asuncion 0-2 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 20%, draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ BTTS Yes
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