Şili (K) 1-2 Ekvador (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONUK, 6 Jun 2026

📅06/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
58%
+8.7pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ekvador (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
298 Passes 186
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2024 Ekvador (K) Ekvador (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Şili (K) Şili (K) HAZ
25.10.2024 Ekvador (K) Ekvador (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Şili (K) Şili (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili (K)
1-2
AWAY Ekvador (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Şili (K) vs Ekvador (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvador (K) squeezed past Şili (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Şili (K) at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şili (K) had 60% of the ball to Ekvador (K)'s 40%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Şili (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Şili (K) and 1.00 for Ekvador (K).

What was the final score of Şili (K) vs Ekvador (K)?

Şili (K) 1-2 Ekvador (K) in the CONUK on 06/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili (K) vs Ekvador (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Şili (K) 67%, draw 19%, Ekvador (K) 14%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Şili (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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