Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 Jul 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-1 HT 1-1
Shenzhen FC
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shenzhen FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 37% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.01
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.88
X/2
17%
5.41
X/X
17%
4.36
2/1
4%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.56
2/X
4%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Shenzhen FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.54/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.07
+4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.2 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shenzhen FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.70
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
265 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
05.05.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
07.07.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
17.06.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
08.08.2021 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
18.07.2021 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 Shenzhen FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.20 xG 0.97
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
188 Passes 439
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Shenzhen FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 34% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 66%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.20 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 1.00 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shenzhen FC?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 34%, draw 28%, Shenzhen FC 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shenzhen FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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