Tianjin Teda 2-2 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.55
No
55%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.4 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.6
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.7
X/2
7%
7.62
X/X
14%
5.36
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
12%
5.1
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.0pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.30/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 84%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
347 Passes 361
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
29.07.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
12.11.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-3 HT 2-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
15.08.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
28.07.2021 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-4 HT 0-3 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
2-2
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.50 xG 2.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 4
291 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda and Changchun YaTai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tianjin Teda at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 48% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 52%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.50 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.50 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Changchun YaTai?

Tianjin Teda 2-2 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 46%, draw 27%, Changchun YaTai 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✗ BTTS No
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