Elfsborg 3-0 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.22
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.41
X/2
12%
9.09
X/X
12%
5.94
2/1
8%
20.6
2/2
9%
6.05
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.84/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +71%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.2 Crosses 23.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.04 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 Passes 389
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
15.04.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 5-0 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
05.11.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
19.04.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
12.03.2017 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
08.03.2015 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
3-0
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.07 xG 0.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
21 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
311 Passes 465
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg swept aside Brommapojkarna 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 42% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 58%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.07 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Elfsborg and 0.67 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna?

Elfsborg 3-0 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 43%, draw 28%, Brommapojkarna 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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