Mjallby 3-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Jul 2024

Mjallby
3-2 HT 0-0
IK Sirius
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Mjallby vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 31% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.38
X/2
14%
7.73
X/X
15%
4.8
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
11%
5.72
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjallby v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.98/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.30
+24% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.6 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Mjallby vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
5W-0D-1L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 462
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-3 HT 1-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
14.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 3-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.03.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇK
31.07.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
20.04.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
06.11.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 2-3 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

Mjallby 3-2 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
3-2
AWAY IK Sirius
1.47 xG 0.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
310 Passes 381
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby nicked a narrow win over IK Sirius 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Mjallby found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjallby had 47% of the ball to IK Sirius's 53%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mjallby and 1.17 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs IK Sirius?

Mjallby 3-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 40%, draw 30%, IK Sirius 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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