Brisbane City 0-3 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
62%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.9pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.1pp
62%
Away Win
64%
-1.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.5pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 69%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.12/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.11
+19% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 18.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Queensland Lions
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.07 xG 2.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
342 Passes 504
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 6-0 HT 4-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
03.09.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
17.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-2 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
11.03.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 6-3 HT 3-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
18.06.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 7-0 HT 4-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
16.04.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-2 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions cruised past Brisbane City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brisbane City and 4.00 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Queensland Lions?

Brisbane City 0-3 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 21%, draw 17%, Queensland Lions 62%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
6 Jul 2024
12:30 Moreton City Excelsior vs Redlands United Analysis →