Queensland Lions 6-0 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.18/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.87
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 19.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brisbane City
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.58 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
452 Passes 337
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
17.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-2 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
11.03.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 6-3 HT 3-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
18.06.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 7-0 HT 4-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
16.04.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-2 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
24.10.2020 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions swept aside Brisbane City 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Queensland Lions and 0.83 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City?

Queensland Lions 6-0 Brisbane City in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 47%, draw 24%, Brisbane City 30%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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