Bayswater City 1-0 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.33
No
33%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.3pp
67%
BTTS Yes
71%
-3.9pp
33%
BTTS No
29%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayswater City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fremantle City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.04.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
POST-MATCH Bayswater City vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City edged past Fremantle City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Bayswater City made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bayswater City vs Fremantle City?

Bayswater City 1-0 Fremantle City in the Australia - NPL West on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayswater City vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayswater City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bayswater City 36%, draw 27%, Fremantle City 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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