Stirling Lions 2-2 Inglewood United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.63
No
38%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
57%
+4.5pp
38%
BTTS No
43%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Inglewood United EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.63
-26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -35%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
461 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Lions
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Inglewood United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Inglewood United Inglewood United 1-3 HT 0-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
26.08.2023 Inglewood United Inglewood United 1-1 HT 0-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
03.06.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-4 HT 0-2 Inglewood United Inglewood United AVNPL
13.08.2022 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 1-0 Inglewood United Inglewood United AVNPL
21.05.2022 Inglewood United Inglewood United 1-2 HT 0-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
02.08.2014 Inglewood United Inglewood United 1-5 HT 0-3 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Stirling Lions vs Inglewood United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Lions and Inglewood United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stirling Lions at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Lions had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stirling Lions and 1.33 for Inglewood United.

What was the final score of Stirling Lions vs Inglewood United?

Stirling Lions 2-2 Inglewood United in the Australia - NPL West on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Lions vs Inglewood United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Stirling Lions 60%, draw 21%, Inglewood United 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stirling Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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