Inglewood United 1-3 Stirling Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
43%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+12.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-13.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inglewood United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 61%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.90/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.88
-26% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inglewood United
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Stirling Lions
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Inglewood United Inglewood United 1-1 HT 0-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
03.06.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-4 HT 0-2 Inglewood United Inglewood United AVNPL
13.08.2022 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 1-0 Inglewood United Inglewood United AVNPL
21.05.2022 Inglewood United Inglewood United 1-2 HT 0-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
02.08.2014 Inglewood United Inglewood United 1-5 HT 0-3 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Inglewood United vs Stirling Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Lions beat Inglewood United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stirling Lions as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stirling Lions led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Inglewood United and 1.80 for Stirling Lions.

What was the final score of Inglewood United vs Stirling Lions?

Inglewood United 1-3 Stirling Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inglewood United vs Stirling Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Inglewood United 34%, draw 23%, Stirling Lions 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stirling Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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