Paju Citizen 2-1 Gangneung City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -13%
0.89/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.22
-28% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Gangneung City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
16.03.2024 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 1-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
02.09.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
07.05.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
22.10.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
10.04.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
27.06.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen nicked a narrow win over Gangneung City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Paju Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paju Citizen and 0.67 for Gangneung City.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Paju Citizen 2-1 Gangneung City in the South Kore - K3 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gangneung City win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 33%, draw 32%, Gangneung City 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gangneung City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gangneung City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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