Gangneung City 1-1 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
39%
3.11
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.7pp
39%
Draw
29%
+10.4pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.65/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.08
+45% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangneung City
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Paju Citizen
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
02.09.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
07.05.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
22.10.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
10.04.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
27.06.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gangneung City vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangneung City and Paju Citizen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 39% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Gangneung City and 1.60 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Gangneung City vs Paju Citizen?

Gangneung City 1-1 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangneung City vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gangneung City 32%, draw 39%, Paju Citizen 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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